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Severe weather on two fronts for Monday over the south-central US and from Virginia to New Hampshire, red flag alerts in the West, and severe weather will ramp up again in the central US on Tuesday.

Severe weather threat in the Northeast, South-Central US on Monday

There are two areas of concern for severe weather on Monday that will impact the Southwest, South-central US, Southeast, mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.

Eastern US

The first is a storm front stretching from Virginia to New Hampshire on Monday, bringing the threat of severe weather to the mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a severe thunderstorm watch over central and northeast Pennsylvania; south-central, eastern, and northern New York; western New England area; western Massachusetts; and Vermont.

The most significant area of concern with a Level 3 severe weather risk will be over northern Virginia, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania, into southeastern, east-central, and eastern New York, according to the alert from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) of the NOAA. The risk includes:

  • Numerous widespread severe, and intense storms with possibility of a likely significant wind damage.
  • Large hail between 1-2 inches.
  • A few isolated tornadoes.

A threat of flash flooding over upstate New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire has been issued by the NWS.

South-central US

The second area of concern is over the Southwest and South-Central US. The SPC has issued a Level 2 severe weather alert for eastern New Mexico, northern Texas, southwestern Oklahoma, and the Panhandle for Monday. The risk includes scattered, isolated severe storms possible with possibility of wind damage, large hail between 1-2 inches, and a low threat of 1-2 isolated tornadoes.

The 3-day forecast: Severe weather risk continues, critical fire weather

Here is your forecast over the next three days in the National Weather Service (NWS).

Monday: Severe weather, red flag alerts

The NWS issued red flag warnings in the West and Southwest for Monday over southern Utah, south-central Colorado, north-central and southeastern New Mexico, and western Texas.

The NWS issued a flood warning for northeastern North Dakota, northwestern and northeastern Minnesota, and northern Wisconsin.

Severe weather on two fronts and potential flash flooding (see above for details).

Tuesday: Severe weather, critical fire weather

Thunderstorms over parts of the West, central US, and Ohio Valley. A Level 2 Severe Weather Risk over the central US to include northwestern Colorado, southern and eastern Nebraska, northern and eastern Kansas, southeastern Iowa, eastern central and northern Missouri, and west-central Illinois.

Critical fire weather is possible over central, western, and northern Texas.

Wednesday: Thunderstorms

Below normal temperatures continue in the West, with mixed precipitation possible over Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, and North-central New Mexico.

Thunderstorms over the central US, mid-South, Ohio Valley, mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, as well as over most of Florida.